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\references{
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\references{
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  C. C. Holt (1957)
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  C. C. Holt (1957)
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  Forecasting trends and seasonals by exponentially weighted
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  Forecasting trends and seasonals by exponentially weighted
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  moving averages,
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  moving averages,
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  \emph{ONR Research Memorandum, Carnegie Institute of Technology} \bold{52}.
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  \emph{ONR Research Memorandum, Carnegie Institute of Technology} \bold{52}.
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  P. R. Winters (1960)
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  P. R. Winters (1960)
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  Forecasting sales by exponentially weighted moving averages,
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  Forecasting sales by exponentially weighted moving averages,
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  \emph{Management Science} \bold{6}, 324--342.
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  \emph{Management Science} \bold{6}, 324--342.
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}
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}
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\author{
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\author{